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At the start of the year, 9.3 percent of the individual constituents of the S&P 500 index were in a so-called bear market - defined as stocks that have fallen at least 20 percent from their 12-month peak. By Oct. 22, the percentage had climbed to 34.1 and more than 70 percent of the stocks were in correction territory, defined as a fall of at least 10 percent. The return of the bears is even more pronounced outside the United States. According to Bank of America Merrill Lynch, 58 percent of the 2,767 stocks in MSCI’s global index are now in bear market territory.
In Europe, the STOXX 600 has fallen a limited 9 percent this year, but the percentage of bear market constituents in the index has jumped to 46.2 from 10.2 at the start of 2018, The concern among some analysts is that the surge in securities hitting the 20 percent loss mark could lead to a tipping point and falls of a similar magnitude in overall indexes monogrammed cufflinks and tie clip - which typically leads to a long-term downward trend, “It’s really an indication that a global bear market has probably already started,” said Albert Edwards, global strategist at Societe Generale..
He said other technical indicators, such as the breadth of the market - the divergence between individual performances within an index - pointed to the same conclusion. Such rules of thumb about bear markets are by no means foolproof but they are closely monitored by money managers and investors for whom calling market turns correctly is paramount. Still, Edwards has a reputation for being a so-called permabear due to his often pessimistic views and other analysts caution that the increase in bear market constituents could be read in two ways.
Either the creeping bear forces a further investor capitulation and long-term funk, or it slowly releases air from what many assumed were bubble-like valuations and eases monogrammed cufflinks and tie clip the pressure to cut and run, Analysts who side with the second view say the bull market won’t run out of steam until the U.S, economy slips into recession, Many influential investment houses such as Goldman Sachs continue to take the view that tax cuts under the administration of U.S, President Donald Trump and the U.S, economy’s momentum will propel markets further..
“Economic expansion and the long-bull market in equities should continue in 2019,” the investment bank wrote last week, pointing to rising U.S. corporate sales and profits. For the pessimists, the flurry of mini bear markets within catch-all stock market indexes - even among those still showing positive returns this year - is becoming hard to ignore. Other indexes that have seen a marked rise in bear market constituents include global emerging markets, Chinese shares and European autos and banks.
In the United States, the Nasdaq 100 - which is up 11 percent this year and whose tech shares have spearheaded the bull market for the past two years - has seen the percentage of its bear market constituents surge to 43.7 from 7.8 in January, Some analysts say this suggests that while popular stocks can still thrive, a growing number of stocks are quietly collapsing in the background, In Germany, the change of fortune has been particularly brutal for the blue-chip DAX, Only two of its 30 stocks were in bear market territory in monogrammed cufflinks and tie clip January but now there are 18..
(Reuters) - AT&T Inc’s quarterly profit for the latest quarter rose less than expected, held back by its declining satellite TV business, sending the company’s shares down more than 6 percent. The second-largest U.S. wireless carrier has been reducing its dependency on the phone business with its $85-billion acquisition of Time Warner this year, but it is struggling to grow in the TV market as its satellite business continues to shed customers, while its streaming services have not attracted as many subscribers as analysts had hoped.
AT&T lost more satellite TV customers than Wall Street expected in the third quarter, shedding a net 359,000 subscribers, as viewers move to services like Netflix Inc and Hulu, It lost 251,000 in the same period last year, Wall Street analysts expected AT&T to shed 245,000 satellite subscribers, according to research firm FactSet, Meanwhile, DirecTV Now, the company’s monogrammed cufflinks and tie clip “over-the-top” streaming video service that was launched to lure back viewers who had dropped more expensive satellite TV services, added only 49,000 net subscribers in the quarter, much lower than the 296,000 it added last year, Analysts had expected 287,000 net new customers, according to FactSet..