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U.S. consumers surveyed in November expect prices to rise 2.8 percent over the next year, according to the University of Michigan’s survey of consumer sentiment. That’s down from an expectation of 2.9 percent in the university’s October survey. Over the next five years, however, inflation expectations rose slightly. U.S. consumer sentiment has been on an upward trend since 2015, although the University of Michigan’s November survey showed a slight cooling from October. A separate report from the Commerce Department showed wholesale inventories rose 0.4 percent in September, slightly faster than its initial estimate of a 0.3 percent increase.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Randal Quarles, head of supervision at the Federal Reserve, said on Friday the central bank would hickok cufflinks re-propose aspects of a bank capital rule known as the “stress capital buffer” due to industry concerns, Speaking at a conference in Washington, Quarles said the regulator should also ease a key element of its annual stress tests that allows the regulator to fail firms on operational grounds, The changes are part of a broader Fed effort to streamline its stress-testing process, a tool introduced after the 2007-2009 financial crisis that banks say has become far too onerous..

The Fed proposed a “stress capital buffer” (SCB) in April, an effort to shift the Fed’s stress testing regime to fall more in line with its traditional supervisory work, and make its requirements more flexible to address each firm’s specific characteristics. But in response to industry comments, Quarles said the Fed would rethink several portions of the plan to make it simpler for banks. The changes under consideration are aimed at making the future supervisory and capital regime for banks simpler and more predictable.

He pitched a number of significant changes to how the Fed evaluates the strength of a bank’s operations hickok cufflinks during times of crisis, He said the Fed is considering a change that would allow a bank to learn how it fared under the Fed’s evaluation before building a capital distribution plan, This would reverse the current regime where banks must pitch capital plans to the Fed for approval, which has been a point of stress for banks given the public nature of the approval or rejection, He also said the Fed was considering scrapping leverage requirements proposed as part of the stress capital buffer, and was working to reduce the volatility of stress test results now that banks have built up significant capital reserves following the financial crisis..

On current stress tests, Quarles said he supported eliminating the Fed’s ability to object to a bank’s plan on “qualitative” grounds. Banks had long complained that this standard, which gave the Fed broad leeway to flunk banks for operational concerns even if their capital proved sufficient, was opaque and arbitrary. In June, German lender Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) fell foul of the qualitative standard due to “widespread and critical deficiencies” in its capital planning controls.

Banks have started to complain increasingly about the Fed’s stress tests, saying the scenarios have become unrealistically severe and are proving an unnecessary drag on their capital, Morgan Stanley (MS.N) chief executive James Gorman said in October that it had been pushing the Fed to reconsider its approach to the tests, Quarles said the Fed was considering giving banks more insight into its stress testing model and scenarios, hickok cufflinks The Fed had resisted giving too much information on that front in the past, concerned that banks could find ways to pass the test without actually reducing risk, But Quarles argued close examination of banks by Fed supervisors could guard against that..

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - Two of the world’s biggest economies probably shrank last quarter, further proof that global growth is now past its peak and the risk of a downturn is rising. Germany and Japan are both expected to report negative growth figures in the coming days and even if a slew of one-off events are factored out, the underlying trend is weak and the outlook is fraught with risk, not least from a global trade war. For now, few economists predict a global downturn as the U.S. economy is motoring ahead, and most even see a rebound, perhaps in 2020. But the risks are skewed toward a more negative outcome as the global business cycle is entering a mature phase, already having left its growth peak behind in 2017.

“It appears the global economy is hitting another major soft patch,” UBS said in a research report, “The deterioration in global ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ data is the most severe since the euro zone crisis.”, “We view the softness as transitory and we project consumption and investment to re-accelerate in 2020,” it added, “There is no precedent for a recession having hickok cufflinks started with accelerating investment growth, as is currently the case in Japan and the euro zone.”..



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